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Why Did Circle & KakaoPay Stocks Crash 20%? - The Hidden Risks Behind Stablecoin Mania

The how to buy meme coins on coinbasecryptocurrency market witnessed a dramatic reversal last week as two high-flying stablecoin stocks - Circle (CRCL.US) and South Korea's KakaoPay (377300.KS) - saw their valuations collapse by 20%+ following June's parabolic rally. This sudden downturn has market participants questioning whether the stablecoin investment thesis got ahead of fundamentals.

Circle's shares, which gained nearly 500% during June's speculative frenzy, surrendered almost a quarter of their value in just five trading days. Similarly, KakaoPay erased 16.6% of its market cap despite earlier announcements about developing a Korean won-pegged stablecoin. The violent pullback occurred despite favorable regulatory developments across major jurisdictions.

Warning Signs Emerge

Several red flags emerged during the rally that foreshadowed the correction:

  • Short interest in Circle ballooned to 25% of float, signaling growing skepticism

  • Korea Exchange issued multiple warnings about overheated speculation

  • Analyst downgrades cited unrealistic growth assumptions

The selloff reflects growing concerns that investors may have overestimated the near-term revenue potential of stablecoin projects. While Circle's $40 billion valuation suggests massive expectations for USDC adoption, actual transaction volumes and adoption metrics remain unclear.

Citi's research team highlighted this disconnect, noting KakaoPay's stablecoin initiative remains in early development with uncertain timelines. Their downgrade to "Sell" emphasized that current prices bake in unrealistic adoption curves.

Regulatory Progress vs. Market Reality

While stablecoin legislation continues advancing globally, the market appears to be reassessing how quickly these policies will translate to bottom-line results:

  • U.S. GENIUS Act creates framework but implementation takes time

  • Hong Kong's new rules require extensive compliance efforts

  • Korean legislation faces parliamentary review processes

Market technicians note that both stocks entered overbought territory during June's rally, with Circle's relative strength index (RSI) exceeding 80 at peak levels. The current correction represents a healthy normalization after extreme momentum trading.

Industry observers suggest the selloff creates better entry points for long-term investors, though caution remains warranted until stablecoin adoption metrics become more visible. The coming quarters will prove critical as these projects transition from regulatory approvals to real-world usage.